Mercado previu novo papa

Não era necessário ouvir a opinião dos "comentadores". Bastava seguir o mercado de futuros:

If you had wanted to know who was the most likely cardinal to be promoted to Pope you shouldn't have relied on the pundits. Nor should you have taken any notice of the Vatican watchers who studied the arcane politics of the Catholic Church.

Your best bet would have been, well, a bet - or, rather, an investment in an online futures market. They got it spot on. The Intrade futures market had Cardinal Ratzinger as well ahead of the field.

(artigo da BBC, via LvMI)

Próximo contrato de futuros a seguir: o referendo francês à Constituição Europeia
(no site da Intrade > Markets > Politics > EU Constitution)